Year 11 Standard · Unit 1 · Lesson 6 · teacher page

Teaching: misleading graphs and reports

Students can now compute and compare summaries. This lesson turns that into a habit of checking the picture and the measure, and into a short written report with a limitation.

Statistics and ProbabilityNo calculator

At a glance. One lesson of about 60 minutes. It assumes the summaries from Lessons 1 to 5 and percentage change. Students check axes, scaling, grouping and averages, and write a short report structure.

Calculator: no calculator. No calculator is needed: the divisions and percentages are chosen to be short, and the checking habit is the reasoning.

What students will learn

Know

  • A vertical axis that starts above zero exaggerates differences between bars.
  • Area grows as the square of a scale factor.
  • A mean of group means must be weighted by group sizes.

Understand

  • A picture can mislead even when every number is correct.
  • A count is not a rate: compare shares, not totals, for groups of different sizes.
  • A report needs a limitation as well as a conclusion.

Do

  • Work out the true ratio or percentage from a chart's values.
  • Combine group means properly.
  • Write a short report with centre, spread, comparison and a limitation.

MYP assessment criteria

Wording paraphrased. What this lesson gives you evidence for, and what to look for:

The one thing to do with the figure

Make students commit before they slide. In the first figure, ask “How many times as tall will B look when the axis starts at 40?” and take a number before moving the slider.

In the second figure, ask whether the tallest class will stay the same when the width changes, then check at width 5 and width 20.

A possible order

5 minWarm-up from the student page, in silence, then answers.
7 minHook: the two headlines. Collect what students would check on a graph.
10 minFirst figure and key idea: the four checks.
10 minSecond figure, the warning card and the worked example; pairs finish the faded example.
5 minThe check. If many choose B or C, return to the first figure and read the bar heights.
18 minYour turn, Levels 1 to 3, at each student's own pace.
5 minSomething to think about, then the exit ticket, question 8.

The answers

Warm-upA; 25%; 15.
HookThe same figures can be drawn with different axis starts, so one graph shows a big difference and another a small one. Check where the axis starts, the scale, the grouping and the measure. For the first figure, with the axis starting at 50, B looks three times as tall as A although its value is only 1.08 times as large.
Worked exampleLooks 1.3 times as tall (30%); really 5%.
Faded exampleMean of all 25 students: 64.
1. What a truncated axis doesA. B says the values change; C says nothing is wrong; D confuses width with height.
2. How tall a bar looks2. 20 ÷ 10.
3. Choosing a limitationB. A names a method, not a limitation; C thinks a clear result needs none; D treats a difference as an error.
4. The true percentage change25. 20 ÷ 80.
5. A mean of two groups55. 2200 ÷ 40.
6. Scaling a pictogram4. 2 × 2.
7. A rate against a count1. 7.5% − 6.5%.
8. Impression against truthC. A reads the drawn heights as the values; B gives the difference as a percentage; D uses the true ratio for the drawn heights.

What each wrong answer tells you

They giveWhat it usually meansWhat to do
B, C or D in question 1Treats the printed values as the only information, or confuses height with width.Hold up two strips cut to the drawn heights.
1.25, 10 or 0.5 in question 2Gave the true ratio, a difference, or the inverted ratio.Ask for the drawn heights first.
A, C or D in question 3Named a method, said no limitation was needed, or treated a difference as an error.Ask: if the same study were done again next week, could the answer change?
100, 20 or 80 in question 4Gave the impression, the difference, or the first value as a percentage of the second.Ask: change divided by what?
60, 2200 or 1500 in question 5Averaged the means, did not divide, or used one group's total.Make a total for each group in a table.
2, 8 or 60 in question 6Used the factor on one side, three dimensions, or the value.Draw the two icons on squared paper and count squares.
430, 6.5 or 7.5 in question 7Compared counts, or gave one share only.Ask: which town is bigger, and does that explain the counts?
A, B or D in question 8Read the drawn heights as the values, gave the difference as a percentage, or ignored the cut-off.Ask for the drawn heights and the values on two separate lines.

Questions worth asking

Differentiation

A way in for anyone stuck

Stretch

Students learning in English as an additional language

“Misleading” means giving a wrong idea. “Exaggerate” means to make something seem bigger than it is. “Limitation” means a reason the conclusion may not be fully reliable. “Weighted” means counted according to size.

WordPlain meaningExample
truncated axisan axis that starts above zero, cutting off the bottom of the barsa bar chart whose axis starts at 40
pictograma chart that uses pictures to stand for valuesicons of buses for numbers of passengers
weighted meana mean in which each group counts according to its sizethe mean of all the plants, not of two group means
ratea count compared with the size of the groupgoals per match
limitationa reason a conclusion may not be fully reliablethe data came from only one week
impressionthe idea a reader gets from looking at a grapha rise that looks large

Sentence starters for explaining aloud or in writing:

Two things not to say

“The graph is lying.” The numbers can be correct; it is the impression that misleads.

“Just average the two means.” Groups of different sizes need weighting.

Questions to set

Extra practice in three tiers, including one question from earlier work for spacing. Every answer has been checked.

1Fluency

The idea on its own, with friendly numbers. Set these first.

  1. RatioBars of 30 and 45 on an axis that starts at 0. How many times as tall is the second?
    1.5.
  2. PercentageA value rises from 50 to 60. What is the percentage increase?
    20%.

2In context

The same idea inside a situation, where the first job is deciding what to calculate.

  1. ContextA chart of rainfall in Kampala has bars for 90 mm and 100 mm on an axis starting at 80. How many times as tall does the second bar look?
    20 ÷ 10 = 2.
  2. Earlier work (Lesson 5)Group P has median 18 and IQR 4; group Q has median 18 and IQR 9. Compare them.
    Same typical value; Q varies more.

3Challenge

Reasoning, generalizing and working backwards.

  1. ReasoningA report says “crime doubled” because a count went from 4 to 8 in a small town. What would you ask?
    The population and the period: 4 to 8 is a small count and may be random variation.
  2. Working backwardsTwo groups of 10 and 40 have an overall mean of 52. The group of 10 has mean 40. Find the mean of the group of 40.
    2600 − 400 = 2200; 2200 ÷ 40 = 55.

Practicalities

Works on a phone or a shared screen. Nothing a student types is saved or sent anywhere.

Both figures work with the keyboard (tab to a slider, then the arrow keys) and by touch. Under each one, “Show me the steps” gives the same states in words.

No device? Bring two printed charts of the same data with different axes and have groups rank them for how honest they are.