Year 11 Standard · Unit 1 · Lesson 1 · teacher page

Teaching: estimating from grouped data

Students have found means, medians and modes from lists and frequency tables. Here the exact values are gone, and the lesson is about what an answer is worth when the data has been grouped.

Statistics and ProbabilityScientific calculator

At a glance. One lesson of about 60 minutes. It assumes mean and median from a list and the idea of a frequency table. Students find midpoints, estimate a mean from f × midpoint, find a median class from running totals, and say why the answers are estimates.

Calculator: scientific calculator. A scientific calculator's memory keys help to build the sum of f × midpoint. The by-hand route is the point, because each product is small and an error is easier to see on paper.

What students will learn

Know

  • The midpoint of a class is halfway between its boundaries.
  • Estimated mean = sum of f × midpoint divided by the total frequency.
  • The median class is where the running total passes half of the values.

Understand

  • Grouping throws information away, so every answer is an estimate and a band can be given for the mean.
  • Frequencies weight the midpoints; an unweighted average of midpoints is a different thing.
  • The median class is found by counting, not by position in the table.

Do

  • Estimate a mean from a grouped table with equal or unequal widths.
  • Name the modal class and the median class.
  • Work backwards from a given mean to a missing frequency.

MYP assessment criteria

Wording paraphrased. What this lesson gives you evidence for, and what to look for:

The one thing to do with the figure

Make students commit before they slide. In the first figure, ask “What is the smallest the mean could possibly be, and the largest?” and take answers before the slider moves. Then ask where the midpoint estimate sits in that band.

In the second figure, ask students to find the 10th and 11th values before they slide, using the running totals printed under the bars.

A possible order

5 minWarm-up from the student page, in silence, then answers.
7 minHook: the lost notebook. Collect predictions about whether a mean can be found, and how far to trust it.
10 minFirst figure and key idea: the band, the midpoint, the formula.
10 minSecond figure, the warning card and the worked example; pairs finish the faded example.
5 minThe check. If many choose A or B, return to the idea of a stand-in value.
18 minYour turn, Levels 1 to 3, at each student's own pace.
5 minSomething to think about, then the exit ticket, question 8.

The answers

Warm-up8; 6; 18.
HookThe mean can be estimated by standing in the midpoint of each class; for the first figure it must lie between 22.5 and 32.5 and the midpoint estimate is 27.5. It cannot be trusted exactly, because the exact times are not in the table.
Worked exampleMean 149.5 g; median class 140 to under 160.
Faded example9.5 minutes.
1. What a class adds to the sumD. A uses the start of the class, B the end, C the width.
2. Midpoint of a class30. (24 + 36) ÷ 2.
3. Sum of frequency times midpoint140. 15 + 75 + 50.
4. Estimated mean42. 1260 ÷ 30.
5. Median classB. A is the modal class; C has the second-highest frequency; D is where the running total is only 11.
6. A missing frequency from a mean30. 900 + 30x = 720 + 36x.
7. Mean from classes of unequal width24.3. 730 ÷ 30 = 24.33…
8. Estimated mean from a small tableA. B averages the midpoints without frequencies; C uses class starts; D uses class ends.

What each wrong answer tells you

They giveWhat it usually meansWhat to do
A, B or C in question 1Uses the start or the end of the class, or the class width.Draw a class as a bar and mark the middle with a finger.
12, 60 or 36 in question 2Used the class width, the sum of the boundaries, or the upper boundary.Ask: where is halfway between 24 and 36 on a number line?
90, 190 or 45 in question 3Used the start or the end of the class, or forgot to multiply by frequency.Write the three products in a column before adding.
40, 32 or 1260 in question 4Averaged the midpoints, used class starts, or did not divide.Ask: how many people are there, and has the sum been shared among them?
A, C or D in question 5Picked the modal class, the second-highest bar, or a class that is too early.Make a running-total row under the table and circle where it passes 25.
16, 150 or −6 in question 6Treated the mean as the count, dropped the 20 values, or left x out of the total.Write the sum and the total number of values as two separate lines before setting up the equation.
20.7, 23.3 or 14 in question 7Used the class widths, averaged the midpoints, or used the class starts.Ask students to say, in words, what each term in the sum stands for.
B, C or D in question 8Averaged the midpoints, or used the class starts or ends.Compare the answer with the band the table allows.

Questions worth asking

Differentiation

A way in for anyone stuck

Stretch

Students learning in English as an additional language

“Class” here means a group of values, not a group of students. “Boundary” is the edge of a class. “Estimate” means a careful answer that may not be exact. “Midpoint” means halfway between two ends.

WordPlain meaningExample
classa group of values in a grouped table, such as 20 to under 30the interval 60 to under 64
class boundarythe lower or upper end of a class; a value on the upper boundary belongs to the next class64 is the start of the next class
midpointhalfway between the boundaries; the stand-in value for a class62 for the class 60 to under 64
estimated meanthe sum of frequency times midpoint divided by the total frequencythe average found from a table, not from the raw data
modal classthe class with the highest frequency, when the classes have equal widththe tallest bar
median classthe class that holds the middle value of the ordered datawhere the running total passes half the values

Sentence starters for explaining aloud or in writing:

Two things not to say

“The median class is the middle class.” It is the class where the running total passes half the values.

“The mean is the average of the midpoints.” Each midpoint has to be counted as many times as its frequency.

Questions to set

Extra practice in three tiers, including one question from earlier work for spacing. Every answer has been checked.

1Fluency

The idea on its own, with friendly numbers. Set these first.

  1. MidpointWhat is the midpoint of the class 42 to under 50?
    46.
  2. TotalTwo values in 0 to under 4 and four in 4 to under 8. Total of f × midpoint?
    2 × 2 + 4 × 6 = 28.

2In context

The same idea inside a situation, where the first job is deciding what to calculate.

  1. ContextHeights of 20 sunflowers, in cm: 100 to under 120 (3), 120 to under 140 (9), 140 to under 160 (8). Estimate the mean.
    (110 × 3 + 130 × 9 + 150 × 8) ÷ 20 = 2700 ÷ 20 = 135 cm.
  2. Earlier work (Year 8)Find the median of 11, 4, 9, 16, 7.
    9. The ordered list is 4, 7, 9, 11, 16.

3Challenge

Reasoning, generalizing and working backwards.

  1. ReasoningA table has 8 values in 0 to under 10 and 12 in 10 to under 20. Between which two numbers must the true mean lie?
    Between (0 × 8 + 10 × 12) ÷ 20 = 6 and (10 × 8 + 20 × 12) ÷ 20 = 16.
  2. Working backwardsA table has 10 values in 0 to under 10 and y values in 10 to under 20. The estimated mean is 11. Find y.
    (50 + 15y) ÷ (10 + y) = 11 gives 50 + 15y = 110 + 11y, so y = 15.

Practicalities

Works on a phone or a shared screen. Nothing a student types is saved or sent anywhere.

Both figures work with the keyboard (tab to a slider, then the arrow keys) and by touch. Under each one, “Show me the steps” gives the same states in words.

No device? Give pairs a strip of 20 numbered cards, grouped into four piles, and have them find the 10th and 11th by counting.