Year 10 Standard · Unit 2 · Lesson 1 · teacher page

Teaching: conjectures and counterexamples

Students believe a rule once it has worked a few times. This lesson separates three things: evidence, proof and disproof, and shows that one case can end a claim while a hundred cannot establish it.

Number and AlgebraGDC optional

At a glance. One lesson of about 60 minutes. It assumes primes and factors from Year 7 and substitution into expressions. Students test a conjecture, find the smallest counterexample, count the cases that hold and predict from a pattern, and say what evidence does and does not show.

Calculator: GDC optional. The lesson is done by hand. The optional section shows GDC users a table of values for testing cases quickly, and says that a table is evidence and not a proof.

What students will learn

Know

  • A conjecture is a statement not yet proved; once it is proved it is a theorem.
  • One counterexample disproves a general statement.
  • A counterexample must satisfy the conditions of the claim.

Understand

  • Evidence from many cases makes a conjecture more convincing but does not prove it.
  • A pattern can hold for a long run and then fail, and can fail and then hold again.
  • Generalizing from a pattern is a prediction, and it needs checking.

Do

  • Test a conjecture with a table of cases and look for a counterexample.
  • State a counterexample clearly in a sentence with the numbers.
  • Predict the next terms of a pattern and describe the rule.

MYP assessment criteria

Wording paraphrased. What this lesson gives you evidence for, and what to look for:

The one thing to do with the figure

Let students find the failure themselves. The strip only shows values up to the current n, so the first counterexample cannot be seen from the opening state. Ask for a prediction on a mini-whiteboard before any sliding, then step n up one at a time as a class. Move to the second expression and ask for a new prediction: most students shorten it.

Ask: “If I had stopped at n = 10, what would I have believed?” That is the point of the lesson.

A possible order

5 minWarm-up from the student page, in silence, then answers.
5 minHook: how many values in a row? Collect predictions on the board.
12 minFigure: step n up with the class, expression 1 then 2; key idea; warning card.
8 minWorked examples; pairs finish the faded example.
5 minQuestion 1, the check. If many choose B, return to the key card.
20 minYour turn, Levels 1 to 3, at each student's own pace.
5 minSomething to think about, then the exit ticket, question 8.

The answers

Warm-upNo (91 = 7 × 13); 42; 9 (or any odd square).
HookExpression 1, n² + n + 17, gives primes for n = 1 to 15, a run of 15; n = 16 gives 289 = 17 × 17. Expression 2, 2n² + 11, gives primes for n = 1 to 10; n = 11 gives 253 = 11 × 23.
Worked examplesFour cases agree but are evidence only; n = 1 is a counterexample; 16.
Faded examplen = 3: 4 × 3 + 3 = 15 = 3 × 5, which is not prime.
1. What a counterexample isC. A is a case that fits; B is supporting evidence; D is not a case at all.
2. Finding a counterexample4. 6 × 4 + 1 = 25.
3. A counterexample to an inequality1. 1 is less than 2.
4. Smallest counterexample10. 100 + 10 + 11 = 121 = 11 × 11.
5. Counting cases that hold12. 15 cases, 3 not prime (121 = 11 × 11, 143 = 11 × 13, 221 = 13 × 17).
6. A conjecture about primes11. 2¹¹ − 1 = 2 047 = 23 × 89.
7. Predicting from a pattern110. 10 × 11.
8. Evidence is not proofB. A treats evidence as proof; C treats lack of testing as falsity; D invents a failure.

What each wrong answer tells you

They giveWhat it usually meansWhat to do
A, B or D in question 1Chose a case that fits, supporting evidence, or an argument about untested cases.Ask: what would a case have to do to break the claim? Then find a number ending in 3 that is not prime.
25 or 3 in question 2Gave the value instead of n, or the last case that worked.Ask: the question asks for n. Which n made 6n + 1 stop being prime?
0 or 2 in question 3Forgot that ≥ includes equal.Make a three-column table: n, n², 2n, and a tick or cross for each row.
121 or 11 in question 4Gave the value of the expression, or a later failure.Ask: is there a smaller n that fails? Check in order from n = 1.
10, 15 or 3 in question 5Stopped at the first failure, assumed all hold, or counted the failures.Mark each n in a table with a tick or cross, then count the ticks.
23 or 4 in question 6Gave a factor of the value, or used a non-prime n.Underline the condition in the claim: n must be prime. List the primes: 2, 3, 5, 7, 11.
100 or 60 in question 7Used the odd-number pattern, or doubled.Write the sums as products 1 × 2, 2 × 3, 3 × 4 and find how the two numbers depend on n.
A, C or D in question 8Treated evidence as proof, or lack of testing as falsity, or invented a failure.Ask: what would a proof have to cover that testing cannot?

Questions worth asking

Differentiation

A way in for anyone stuck

Stretch

Students learning in English as an additional language

“Conjecture” is a statement you think is true but cannot yet prove. “Counterexample” means an example that goes against a claim. Say “holds” for “is true in this case” and “fails” for “is false in this case”.

WordPlain meaningExample
conjecturea statement thought to be true but not yet provedevery n works
counterexampleone case where a general statement is false21 breaks “every odd number above 1 is prime”
evidencecases that support a claim without proving itten cases hold
proofan argument that covers every caseuses a letter
primea whole number greater than 1 with exactly two factors17
generalizationa statement about every case, formed from specific casesthe rule

Sentence starters for explaining aloud or in writing:

Two things not to say

“It works, so it is true.” Say instead: it works for the cases tested.

“Try a few more to be sure.” Say instead: a case that could fail, or an argument for all n.

Questions to set

Extra practice in three tiers, including one question from earlier work for spacing. Every answer has been checked.

1Fluency

The idea on its own, with friendly numbers. Set these first.

  1. CounterexampleShow that “n + 4 is prime for every whole number n ≥ 1” is false.
    n = 2 gives 2 + 4 = 6, which is not prime, so n = 2 is a counterexample (n = 1 gives 5, which is prime).
  2. SubstituteFind 3n + 2 for n = 1, 2, 3, 4.
    5, 8, 11, 14.

2In context

The same idea inside a situation, where the first job is deciding what to calculate.

  1. ContextA baker says: “every loaf I bake on a Monday sells out.” She tracks 12 Mondays and all sell out. What does this show, and what would break the claim?
    It supports the claim but does not prove it for every Monday; one Monday with unsold loaves would disprove it.
  2. Earlier work (Year 9)Expand and simplify (n + 1)² − n².
    2n + 1.

3Challenge

Reasoning, generalizing and working backwards.

  1. ReasoningZara says n² − n + 5 is prime for n = 1 to 4. Find the first n for which it is not prime.
    n = 5: 25 − 5 + 5 = 25 = 5 × 5.
  2. Working backwardsA rule gives 3, 8, 15, 24 for n = 1, 2, 3, 4. Find the rule and the value for n = 10.
    n² + 2n, which gives 120.

Practicalities

Works on a phone or a shared screen. Nothing a student types is saved or sent anywhere.

The figure works with the keyboard (tab to a slider, then the arrow keys) and by touch. “Show me the steps” gives the same states in words.

No device? A table drawn on paper works the same way: the strip is just a row of ticks and crosses.