Year 10 Extended · Unit 6 · Lesson 1 · teacher page

Teaching: estimating from grouped data

Students have found means and medians from lists and frequency tables. The new ideas are that a grouped table hides the values, so the mean is an estimate, and that the size of the possible error can be stated.

Statistics and ProbabilityGDC optional

At a glance. One lesson of about 60 minutes, opening the unit. Students estimate a mean from mid-interval values, name the modal and median classes, find a missing frequency, and state limits for the true mean.

Calculator: GDC optional. The sum is short enough to do by hand. The optional section shows a list with a frequency list, and warns that the GDC cannot turn an estimate into an exact answer.

What students will learn

Know

  • The estimated mean is Σfx ÷ n using mid-interval values.
  • The modal class has the greatest frequency; the median class holds the middle value.
  • The true mean lies between the lower-boundary mean and the upper-boundary mean.

Understand

  • Grouping throws information away, so a statistic from a grouped table is an estimate with a stated error.
  • A mean is a weighted average: a group with more values counts for more.
  • Narrower classes give a smaller possible error.

Do

  • Estimate a mean from a grouped table.
  • Find a missing frequency from a given mean.
  • State the least and greatest the true mean could be.

MYP assessment criteria

Wording paraphrased. What this lesson gives you evidence for, and what to look for:

The one thing to do with the figure

Ask for the extremes before sliding. With the slider at 5, ask: “If I move every value to the lower end of its class, will the mean go up or down, and by how much?” Then slide to 0 and let students check against the readout.

Then ask why the least and greatest means are exactly one class width apart however the frequencies are shared out. Every value moves by the same amount, so the mean moves by that amount.

A possible order

5 minWarm-up from the student page, in silence, then answers.
5 minHook: the clinic table. Collect predictions of the least and greatest mean.
12 minThe figure with predictions; the key idea; settle the hook.
10 minWarning card and worked examples; pairs finish the faded example.
5 minQuestion 1, the check. If many choose C or D, return to the warning card and the weighting.
18 minYour turn, Levels 1 to 3, at each student's own pace.
5 minSomething to think about, then the exit ticket, question 8.

The answers

Warm-up16; 10; 25.
HookNot exactly: between the lower-boundary mean and the upper-boundary mean, best estimate halfway.
Worked examples3.8 kg; modal and median class both 2 to under 4 kg; between 2.8 kg and 4.8 kg.
Faded example9.25 minutes, within 2.5 minutes of the true mean.
1. Estimated mean of a two-class tableB. A uses lower boundaries; C ignores the frequencies; D divides by the number of classes.
2. Estimated mean from a table19. 570 ÷ 30.
3. Lower boundary of the median class30. The 18th value is in 30 to under 40.
4. Greatest the true mean can be31.4. 26.4 + 5.
5. Missing frequency from a given mean4. 380 + 25f = 400 + 20f.
6. Largest whole number the true mean can be45. 42.6 + 2.5 = 45.1.
7. Combining two groups by weight44. 1760 ÷ 40.
8. What a grouped table gives exactlyC. The frequencies are exact; A, B and D depend on positions inside classes.

What each wrong answer tells you

They giveWhat it usually meansWhat to do
A, C or D in question 1Used lower boundaries, ignored the frequencies, or divided by the number of classes.Make the four columns: class, mid-interval value, f, fx.
14, 20 or 142.5 in question 2Used lower boundaries, ignored the frequencies, or divided by the number of classes.Make the table: class, mid-interval value, f, fx; then n at the foot.
20 or 10 in question 3Gave the modal class, or looked for the position 17.5 as if it were a value.Running totals, then find the class that holds the 18th value.
36.4 or 21.4 in question 4Added the whole width, or gave the least instead of the greatest.Draw the number line: the estimate is the middle of a range of width w.
0.8 or 5 in question 5Left f out of n, or gave a distance from the mean.Write the whole fraction with f in the top and in the bottom.
47 or 46 in question 6Added the whole width, or rounded up.Greatest it can be is 45.1; the whole numbers at or below are ... 44, 45.
40 or 1760 in question 7Averaged the means without weights, or forgot to divide.Totals first: mean times number of values.
A, B or D in question 8Treated an estimate as exact.For each option ask: which values would I need to know?

Questions worth asking

Differentiation

A way in for anyone stuck

Stretch

Students learning in English as an additional language

“Class” here means a group of values between two boundaries, not a school class. “Mid-interval” means halfway between. Say “x bar” for the mean and “sigma f x” for the total of frequency times value.

WordPlain meaningExample
classa group of values between two boundaries0 ≤ x < 8
mid-interval valuethe value halfway between the class boundaries6 for the class 4 ≤ x < 8
modal classthe class with the greatest frequency (equal widths)the tallest bar of a histogram
median classthe class that holds the middle valuethe class where the running total passes n ÷ 2
estimatea value found from incomplete informationx̄ ≈ Σfx ÷ n
class widththe upper boundary minus the lower boundary8 − 4 = 4

Sentence starters for explaining aloud or in writing:

Two things not to say

“The mean is Σfx divided by the number of classes.” The divisor is the number of values, n.

“The estimated mean is the real mean.” It is a good guess with a stated possible error.

Questions to set

Extra practice in three tiers, including one question from earlier work for spacing. Every answer has been checked.

1Fluency

The idea on its own, with friendly numbers. Set these first.

  1. EstimateClasses 0 to under 4 (f = 3), 4 to under 8 (f = 5), 8 to under 12 (f = 2). Estimate the mean.
    5.6. The mid-interval values are 2, 6 and 10, so Σfx = 6 + 30 + 20 = 56 and 56 ÷ 10 = 5.6.
  2. ClassWhich class holds the median of 21 values when the running totals are 4, 13 and 21?
    The second class: the 11th value is first reached there.

2In context

The same idea inside a situation, where the first job is deciding what to calculate.

  1. ContextA market in Hanoi records stall rents in classes 200 wide. The estimated mean is 1 450. Between what limits is the true mean?
    Within 100: between 1 350 and 1 550.
  2. Earlier work (Year 9)A mean of 6 values is 7.5. A seventh value of 10.5 is added. What is the new mean?
    7.9. The total is 45 + 10.5 = 55.5, and 55.5 ÷ 7 = 7.93, so 7.9 to one decimal place.

3Challenge

Reasoning, generalizing and working backwards.

  1. ReasoningA grouped table has one class with frequency 0. Does removing that class change the estimated mean? Say why.
    No: it adds 0 to Σfx and 0 to n.
  2. ProofShow that if every value in a table is increased by k, the estimated mean increases by k.
    Σf(x + k) ÷ n = Σfx ÷ n + kΣf ÷ n = x̄ + k.

Practicalities

Works on a phone or a shared screen. Nothing a student types is saved or sent anywhere.

The figure works with the keyboard (tab to the slider, then the arrow keys) and by touch. “Show me the steps” gives the same states in words.

The With a GDC section is closed by default and optional. Students without a GDC lose nothing; every answer is reached by hand.